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contrarian indicator

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发表于 2025-3-4 20:02:46 | 只看该作者 |只看大图 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 闲云野鹤 于 2025-3-16 14:53 编辑

https://bullishbears.com/what-is-a-contrarian-indicator/

The AAII Sentiment Survey




Bullish Percentage Index (BPSPX)If the BPI exceeds everything, it is good; above 65 will indicate a correction and a dip-buying opportunity; below 65 indicates a more serious correction is coming. Finally, if the signal drops to 25, this indicates a short-term bottom. The current chart shows a future correction, especially if it breaks out of our blue lower trend line.



CBOE Volatility Index Contrarian Indicator



Put Call Ratio (PCR)
If the put-call ratio is above one, then investors are protecting their assets from downside risk.  If the ratio continues to rise it is more pessimistic, and this is a signal of a market bottom.  As the ratio begins to drop, investors are more complacent and may eventually become overly optimistic.



Fear Greed Index Contrarian Indicator
These are the items used to make the CNN index:
  • Stock Price Momentum: Takes the S&P 500 against its 125-day moving average
  • Stock Price Strength: The number of stocks hitting 52-week highs and lows on the New York Stock Exchange
  • Put and Call Options: The put/call ratio, see above
  • Junk Bond Demand: Spread between yields of investment-grade bonds versus junk bonds
  • Stock Price Breadth: Volume of shares rising versus those falling.
  • Market Volatility: The VIX seen above
  • Safe Haven Demand: The difference between returns for stocks versus that of Treasuries





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